Showing posts with label Money and Debt/Financial Developments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Money and Debt/Financial Developments. Show all posts

Tuesday 23 December 2014

How oil's become the world's most potent weapon. Daily Mail





How oil's become the world's most potent weapon: Forget nuclear arms. The U.S. and Saudis are behind an oil price crash that could topple regimes in Russia and Iran

1.      Price of oil has fallen dramatically - down by nearly half in six months
2.    The collapse in price means it is cheaper to fill up your car at the pumps
3.     But has sparked fiscal crisis that threatens to shift global power balance
4.    U.S. and Saudi Arabia are using market slump to wreak havoc on enemies
5.     While Russia - which depends on a bouyant price - is on the edge of crisis
6.     Most pressing issue for Britain is the fate of oil industry in North Sea basin

From Russia to America, and from Scotland to the Middle East, the dramatic fall in the price of oil — down by nearly half in six months — has sparked an economic crisis that threatens to shift the global balance of power in dramatic fashion.

As Russia teeters on the edge of crisis, America and Saudi Arabia are using the depressed oil market to wreak havoc on enemies such as Iran. The repercussions are being felt closer to home, too, with the North Sea oil industry described as being close to collapse.

The good news is that it’s cheaper to fill up your car at the pumps, but what does it mean for Britain’s national security?

Here, the Economist magazine’s Energy Editor EDWARD LUCAS offers a simple guide to these deeply turbulent times.


Monday 8 September 2014

SIMON HEFFER: Ten burning questions if Scotland votes yes. Daily Mail

It is unclear what Scotland's currency would be in an independent country - Scotland could choose to use the pound in the way that some Caribbean islands use the U.S. dollar despite being outside America

1)     Would the Queen remain Queen of Scotland?

The Queen will be Queen of Scotland even after independence, just as she is Queen of Australia or Canada, since the Union of the Crowns of 1603 — when James VI of Scotland also became James I of England — precedes even the Union of the nations of 1707. However, the Scots could, as a sovereign nation, choose to become a republic, inside or outside the Commonwealth.

A third alternative, though less likely, is that they could choose to ignore the ‘Glorious Revolution’ of 1688, which saw King James II of England (who was also James VII of Scotland) deposed in favour of William of Orange.

If they did so, they could invite the man regarded by some as James’s legitimate heir, the ‘Stuart Pretender’, to replace the English Queen. That would mean the present Duke of Bavaria becoming King Francis II of Scotland. However, Duke Franz claims to be perfectly content where he is.

Scots, What the Heck? NY Times



Next week Scotland will hold a referendum on whether to leave the United Kingdom. And polling suggests that support for independence has surged over the past few months, largely because pro-independence campaigners have managed to reduce the “fear factor” — that is, concern about the economic risks of going it alone. At this point the outcome looks like a tossup.

Well, I have a message for the Scots: Be afraid, be very afraid. The risks of going it alone are huge. You may think that Scotland can become another Canada, but it’s all too likely that it would end up becoming Spain without the sunshine.

Comparing Scotland with Canada seems, at first, pretty reasonable. After all, Canada, like Scotland, is a relatively small economy that does most of its trade with a much larger neighbor. Also like Scotland, it is politically to the left of that giant neighbor. And what the Canadian example shows is that this can work. Canada is prosperous, economically stable (although I worry about high household debt and what looks like a major housing bubble) and has successfully pursued policies well to the left of those south of the border: single-payer health insurance, more generous aid to the poor, higher overall taxation.

Does Canada pay any price for independence? Probably. Labor productivity is only about three-quarters as high as it is in the United States, and some of the gap may reflect the small size of the Canadian market (yes, we have a free-trade agreement, but a lot of evidence shows that borders discourage trade all the same). Still, you can argue that Canada is doing O.K.


Thursday 21 August 2014

Touch and go: Tourists can now pay for Blackpool seaside donkey ride with DEBIT CARD, Daily Express

The long-standing family tradition has been given a makeover

BLACKPOOL'S famous donkeys have trotted their way into the 21st century - by allowing seaside tourists to swipe a DEBIT CARD over their saddles.

Instead of letting the kids down when the hunt for small change in their pocket fails, parents can instead scan their bank cards or enter their pin numbers into the seats to go along the Lancashire seaside resort's Golden Mile.

The decision to give the long-standing family tradition a makeover was taken by Mark Ineson, owner of Real Donkeys UK, who has sold donkey rides on the seaside town's beach for almost 20 years.

After recognising the boom in 'touch and go' payments he teamed up with Barclaycard to go contactless.

Hoping to give his business a "much-needed boost", he said: "Over the years I've had to turn hundreds of kids away because mums and dads don't have the cash on them to pay for a ride on Dillon and the beach is often the last place you want to be carrying lots of change.

"So I approached Barclaycard to see whether they could help solve the problem.

"The saddle they've come up with means hundreds more people will be able to experience one of the Great British seaside traditions and have a donkey ride along the sands.

"It also shows that, regardless of how traditional your business might be, there are always new things to trial that can give it a much-needed boost."

Riders can now scan their bank cards or enter their pin numbers into the seats







Comment:


While watching BBC Breakfast news this morning, and it mentioned this story,  my immediate thought  was to check the calendar to see if today’s date wasn’t April the 1st,  relieved that it wasn’t April the 1st and somehow I hadn’t missed the last few months of my life,  and then feeling disappointed  that my dream that I was Dr Who was just a dream!,  I thought that this story was very clever and thought provoking,  well done to Real Donkeys of Blackpool and Barclaycard for introducing,  although I do feel it’s a marketing promotion.  

Thursday 7 August 2014

VIEWPOINT: Why Alex Salmond is deluded... Vote against political union is also a vote against currency union By SIR ANDREW LARGE AND SIR MARTIN JACOMB. Daily Mail, Updated

Successful partnerships or unions depend on give and take. Political unions provide for this. Money raised from taxpayers can then be transferred to wherever in the union needs it: in bad times and good, and over time. Our Union, as the UK including Scotland, has worked like that pretty well over the past 300 years.

One element of a political union is common money, underpinned by a currency union. That’s why we all have the pound. The money we use matters to us all. It must be universally accepted in payment; prices must be stable. And crises like 2008 must not undermine it.

So Mr Salmond’s claim that if Scotland votes ‘Yes’ there will be no change for Scotland’s money is a delusion at best. A vote against political union is also effectively a vote against currency union.

The Scottish Nationalists think that the three political parties who rule out a currency union are bluffing. But why would the rest of the UK wish to support Scotland with their taxpayers’ money?

Claims that it is in the UK’s interests to continue the currency union forget the potentially open ended longer-term commitments: whatever the short-term trade benefits.

And to insist that Scotland would be stronger than the UK is not self-evident. The lessons are there in the European Union. The UK rejected the euro because we knew this needed political union.

The euro’s difficulties won’t be overcome until that can be achieved. It’s not there yet, and the lack of political union today prevents wealth transfers where needed: resulting in mass unemployment in Spain, Portugal and Greece.

Of course Scotland has other options. They all involve change, and risk. Scottish nationalists may feel the risks are worth it. But they need to know what they would be.




Scotland could continue to use the pound but with no formal agreement with the rest of the UK. Some small countries do this: Kosovo uses the euro, Panama the US dollar and Jersey the pound. 

The consequence for the Scots would be that they would have no say over monetary policy. The rest of the UK would issue the pound, and look first to its own interests, not Scotland’s.

Another consequence is that banknotes issued by Scottish banks could be in jeopardy. Today these are equivalent to Bank of England notes, but people might think otherwise if the bank was in a foreign country.

Mr Salmond could peg the Scottish pound to sterling. But Scottish taxpayers would need to build a multibillion pound reserve to defend this against speculators, to avoid what happened when the UK itself was forced out of the parity with the developing euro [ERM] as recently as 1992


Further reading here:

No pound, no euro: With a vote on Scottish independence imminent, why Scotland needs a plan C

 

'You are really scrabbling around now!' Alistair Darling takes the fight to Alex Salmond in first live TV debate on Scottish independence



Scotland's First Minister: Alex Salmond











In 2003, Mr Salmond told me Scotland would be independent in 20 years. After that debate I doubt it By STEPHEN GLOVER. Daily Mail


Diminished in stature: The wily, charming Alex Salmond was easily beaten in the debate by the supposedly boring, bank managerish Alistair Darling

 During the 2003 Scottish elections I found myself walking around the back streets of Dundee with Alex Salmond. He was not then leader of the Scottish Nationalists, though he had been, and would soon be again. I remember him as an amiable and rumpled figure.

At one of our pit-stops he said something that chilled my blood. He told me that in 20 years, if not before, Scotland would be an independent country. He asserted this so calmly and confidently that it was hard to disbelieve him.

I wonder whether Tuesday evening’s debate with Alistair Darling will mark the point when Mr Salmond and the rest of the world began to realise that his prophecy of an independent Scotland has been confounded, at any rate for a generation.

And I also wonder whether the debate might remind Labour that Mr Darling (still only 60) is a considerable but often underrated politician who in most respects stands head and shoulders above the party’s present leader, Ed Miliband.

 The debate had been billed as a contest between the wily, charming Mr Salmond, and the boring, bank managerish Mr Darling. Some supporters of the Union had had so many qualms about the former Chancellor that there had been private talk of replacing him with the more pugnacious John Reid, a Cabinet minister in the Blair administration.

In the event, though, it was the supposedly plodding Mr Darling who easily won the day. An instant Guardian/ICM poll after the debate gave him victory by 56 per cent to 44 per cent. It is hard to find anyone even in the Yes camp who thinks their man did well.

By the way, let me say how outrageous it was that the contest could not be viewed south of the border except online, and even then the picture was often interrupted. These two men were discussing the future of our country, Britain, and yet most citizens of the United Kingdom were excluded from the debate.



Further reading here:





Wednesday 6 August 2014

Alex Salmond defends Plan B currency stance after losing Scottish debate on TV, Telegraph, Updated



First Minister Alex Salmond warns that without the pound an independent Scotland would refuse to take its share of UK debt and claims debate was a success for Yes camp.

Alex Salmond today continued to refuse to name his Plan B currency for a separate Scotland after holding a post-mortem discussion with advisers over his surprise defeat in the independence TV debate.

The First Minister arrived an hour and a half late at a conference for businessmen who support separation this morning, his first public engagement since he lost the STV showdown with Alistair Darling.

A defiant Mr Salmond defended his repeated refusal to name a Plan B currency if the remaining UK won't share the pound, despite being booed by the debate audience for dodging the question.

He even attempted to claim the debate had been a success for the Yes campaign, citing a snap ICM opinion poll that showed most Scots thought Mr Darling won the debate

The First Minister argued that a breakdown of figures revealed undecided voters gave him the victory and said support for independence had risen during the showdown.


But Unionist parties said he was clutching at straws after the figures showed that the support for the Yes campaign increased by only six voters during the debate, while backing for No rose by eight people.

Mr Salmond, who refused to take questions from the print press, pointed to another figure showing 74 per cent of undecided voters thought he had emerged victorious. The ICM breakdown showed this was the equivalent of only 23 people.

The First Minister also defended his repeated refusal to name a Plan B on the currency and warned that without the pound Scotland would refuse to take on its proportion of the UK debt after independence.


Further Reading here:


Independent Scotland's debt 'would force spending cuts or tax rises'




COMMENT: Bookmakers were wrong to tip gambler Alex Salmond in independence TV debate, Scottish Daily Express

alex salmond, alistair darling, independence, referendum, hopeless, crushed dream, ducking question, currency, Scotland, Scottish, debate

The bookies obviously reflect the mood of their punters, who do not as a rule enjoy taking too many risks with their hard-earned cash.

But sometimes bookies, and their punters, can be wrong, and last night they were.

Almost everyone has at least a grudging admiration for the swashbuckling, everconfident manner of Mr Salmond - which is why he was the bookies' favourite - but with little more than a month before the referendum, most people were watching from the comfort and safety of their own homes.

And they will have been looking for reassurance and stability.

Now that we are virtually on the last lap of this seemingly interminable campaign, the thought of taking the kinds of risks that Alex Salmond and his Nationalist supporters propose is distinctly unappealing.

Mr Salmond, as lubricious as ever, did not fail his admirers.

But most of last night's viewers, I suspect, would not wish to follow this man - and his wonky financial nous - into the dense thicket of uncertainty he proposes.

That is why, in the absence of any immediate verdict by STV's 350-strong audience, last night's winner - out there in the real world - was Alistair Darling.

He was never going to set the studio in Glasgow's Royal Conservatoire alight with his booming oratory, but his calm, incisive delivery, and his ability to unravel the untold consequences of Mr Salmond's reckless venture, will surely have told on the electorate.


Further Reading:

















Tuesday 5 August 2014

Scotland 'likely to be worse off after independence' Daily Telegraph

Declining North Sea oil tax revenues would hit an independent Scotland's finances


Economic think tank Fiscal Affairs Scotland draws the conclusion after analysing oil and debt figures produced by both the UK and Scottish Governments.


Scotland is far likelier to be worse off as a separate country, according to an impartial analysis published today as the man who hired Fred Goodwin at RBS accused Westminster of scaremongering over the country’s banks.

Fiscal Affairs Scotland said the wide range of estimates for oil revenue and national debt provided by the UK and Scottish Governments made it impossible to predict exactly what would happen following a Yes vote.

But the economic think tank said that for Scotland to be wealthier, it would have to strike a deal with Westminster to repay only half of its population share of the UK’s national debt while receiving almost twice the predicted income from the North Sea.

If Scotland inherited its full population share of the UK’s national debt, as expected, then oil revenues would have to meet the First Minister’s most optimistic possible forecast if it was not to be poorer.

The analysis was conducted in the wake of the Treasury’s claim the Union is worth £1,400 annually for every Scot, while Mr Salmond claimed independence could be worth £1,000 per person after 15 years.


Further Reading:

Alex Salmond's borrowing plans 'prove currency union won't happen'


“Fiscal Affairs Scotland’s independent analysis demonstrates again that the Scottish Government’s fantasy figures do not stand up to scrutiny. A separate Scotland means higher taxes and less money to spend on vital public services.


Independent Scotland's debt 'would force spending cuts or tax rises'




Scots to to set their own income tax if they reject independence, under deal between Cameron, Clegg and Miliband. Daily Mail

The three leaders of the main parties - David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband - pictured yesterday at a service to commemorate 100 years since the outbreak of World War One, have signed a joint declaration of more financial powers for Scotland if they reject independence

  Joint declaration promises more financial powers if independence is blocked
  David Cameron, Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg have backed the deal
  Comes on the day of a TV debate between Alex Salmond and Alistair Darling
  Scotland currently raises 15 per cent of its £30billion budget


David Cameron, Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg have signed a joint declaration that promises more financial powers for Scotland if it rejects independence.
The move by the leaders of the three main parties is an attempt to rubbish claims by Alex Salmond that Westminster will not deliver more devolution if Scots vote ‘no’.

It comes ahead of tonight's TV debate between Scottish First Minister Mr Salmond and Alistair Darling, the former Labour Chancellor who fronts the pro-union Better Together campaign.

There are just over six weeks to go until voters in Scotland decide whether to remain in the UK or become an independent nation in the September 18 referendum.

Polls have so far failed to show a majority in favour of independence, but both campaigns are hoping to receive a boost as a result of tonight’s TV debate. The six leaders’ declaration states: ‘We support a strong Scottish Parliament in a strong United Kingdom.

‘We now pledge to strengthen further the powers of the Scottish Parliament, in particular in the areas of fiscal responsibility and social security.’

Currently, control over council tax and business rates means the Scottish Government raises about 15 per cent of its £30billion budget, with the majority of public spending funded by a block grant from the UK Treasury.





Scottish Independence, a Vehicle for Alex Salmond's Grandiose Ego ?



Monday 4 August 2014

Independence: No camp ‘scaremongering’ over banks, The Scotsman

Sir George Mathewson gave his backing to Scottish Government plans for a currency union. Picture: Ian Rutherford
Sir George Mathewson, Ex Rbs Chief Executive.

CAMPAIGNERS for the Union have been accused of “scaremongering” about the impact of independence on Scotland’s financial sector, with a former Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) boss insisting this would be “an opportunity not a threat”.

Sir George Mathewson, a former RBS chief executive and chairman, argued that financial services in Scotland had been “neglected by the Westminster government and its London-centric policy”.

He also claimed that banks such as RBS and Lloyds could “scarcely be described as Scottish banks”, adding that if there was a Yes vote in next month’s referendum it should be the rest of the UK government that should be primarily responsible for dealing with the situation.

Sir George also gave his backing to Scottish Government plans for a currency union with the rest of the UK to be established if there is a Yes vote on September 18, allowing an independent Scotland to continue to use the pound.

These proposals have already been dismissed by the three main Westminster parties and last week First Minister Alex Salmond was accused of a ‘’huge deception’’ over his plan.



Saturday 2 August 2014

Standard Life could leave independent Scotland – threatening 5,000 jobs, Daily Express



Labour leader Johann Lamont accused the First Minister of “denial, deception and delusion” after Standard Life confirmed it may flee south of the Border in the event of a Yes vote.

The financial giant, which employs about 5,000 people in Scotland, said it was drawing up contingency plans amid doubts over a breakaway country’s currency and EU membership.

The Edinburgh-based pensions, savings and insurance firm also raised concerns about future financial services regulation and taxation.


And, in another setback for the SNP, RBS used its full-year results to warn that uncertainty over the referendum is already damaging business. The state-owned bank also claimed a vote for independence would “significantly impact the group’s credit ratings” which could be passed on to mortgage and loan customers.

Lunacy on sea: As Ministers agree to the world's biggest wind farm off Brighton, has Britain ever succumbed to a more catastrophic folly? Daily Mail

Madness: Pictured is the Inner Dowsing offshore wind farm in the North Sea. Off shore wind power is subsidised enormously by the British taxpayer

What should be our reaction to daft stories like the one recently reported in the Daily Mail about the 60ft wind turbine put up by the Welsh government outside its offices in Aberystwyth to proclaim to the world just how ‘green’ it is?

Erected at a cost of £50,000 to the taxpayer, it turned out that this turbine was so absurdly inefficient it was providing only £5 worth of electricity a month. It would take more than 750 years to make the money back.

In recent years, we have seen plenty of little tales like this, showing how often those who build these mini-turbines just to promote the wonders of wind power seem to get horribly caught out.

There was, for instance, the windmill put up next to a school in Portland, Dorset, which had to be switched off because it was killing so many seagulls that the headmaster had to come in early every morning to remove their corpses, so the children wouldn’t be upset.

Friday 1 August 2014

British taxpayers help fund £20billion EU handout to struggling Portugal, Daily Express

European Union Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso talks to reporters at the EU Commission headquarter in Brussels
Jose Manuel Barroso
FURY erupted today after the EU gifted cash-strapped Portugal a £20 billion handout to help boost its crumbling economy.
Most of the money will be spent on training and education in a bid to cut rampant unemployment and revive Portuguese economic fortunes by the end of the decade.
Critics warned it means British taxpayers' will be effectively forking out up to £2.7 billion over the next seven years to help prop up one of Europe's basket case nations.
Unemployment in Portugal is currently surging at 14.3 per cent, while one of its biggest banks is teetering on the brink following massive losses.
It was also suggested that the 'growth fund' was a parting gift from Portuguese European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso before he leaves later this year.
Ukip MEP and the party's Economy spokesman Patrick O'Flynn blasted the deal, saying that it was "tipping money down the drain".
He added: "There is only one way for Portugal's economy to recover and generate new jobs and investment and that will be to leave the Euro and restore its own national currency.
"This must amount to the most expensive sticking plaster in history and British voters will be outraged."

Thursday 31 July 2014

Salmond currency plan dismissed by top bankers, Scottish Daily Express

news, scotland, rapist, attack, prison, usain bolt, sport, commonwealth games, Alex Salmond, glasgow

They believe Mr Salmond’s claim that “nothing much will change” and the pound will stay after a “Yes” is a “huge deception”.

“The best way to keep the pound would be through a currency union like today,” said Sir Martin Jacomb, former chairman of Prudential, and Sir Andrew Large, former deputy governor of the Bank of England. This is not compatible with Scotland being politically independent, and is therefore not on offer,”

The robust intervention by two of the UK’s top bankers came as stock market analysts warned millions could be wiped off companies if Scots vote Yes.

The Tories, Labour and the Lib Dems have told Mr Salmond that there would be no currency union, but he dismissed that as “bluff and bluster.”

Jacomb and Large said: “Alex Salmond claims that nothing much will change, that threats otherwise are a bluff and would keep the pound sterling.





Scotland could run out of cash just like Greece


Scottish Independence, a Vehicle for Alex Salmond's Grandiose Ego ?

Wednesday 30 July 2014

Gibraltar rejects Spanish border plans, Daily Telegraph



Spain’s government announced on Tuesday it planned to introduce a “fast lane” for workers resident in Spain with jobs in Gibraltar in a bid to reduce traffic queues at the border to the tiny British Overseas Territory.

The measure, which follows the EU recommending both sides work to ease traffic flow at the frontier, is designed to limit disruption for commuters who travel to Gibraltar each day for employment.

Spain’s Tax Administration Agency said it would spend 5.3 million euros to establish the “fast lane” using bar code readers and turnstiles to check passes issued by those who could prove they are resident in Spain but have regular work in Gibraltar.

An estimated 6,000 workers cross the border into Gibraltar each day.
Gibraltar’s government immediately criticised the plans as not going far enough, claiming freedom of movement should be a privilege enjoyed by all.


Further Reading






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